Calls

Source: S&P Capital IQ transcripts via Xpressfeed · latest indexed call 2026-05-12 · generated 2026-08-01.

Latest call digest

eToro Group Ltd., Q1 2026 Earnings Call, May 12, 2026 · 2026-05-12T12:30:00

eToro's Q1 2026 call (May 12, 2026) was its fourth as a public company and, by the metrics management led with, its strongest: net contribution up 19% year-over-year to $258 million, adjusted EBITDA up 35% to $109 million at a 42% margin, funded accounts over 4 million (+12%) and AUA of $17 billion. Prepared remarks leaned on two threads — a company-wide AI/agentic push (Agent Portfolios, an App Store, and the Zengo self-custodial-wallet acquisition) and the continued rotation of trading from crypto into commodities, which management said made up 60% of trading commission in the quarter. The Q&A was less about the headline print and more about durability. Analysts pressed on whether the commodity-driven strength and elevated capture rates are sustainable while crypto stays soft, on the economics of agentic trading (management likened it to copy trading — lower take rate, higher velocity, smaller size), on how excess cash is split between buybacks and an active M&A pipeline, and on the timing of the U.S. CopyTrader and Smart Portfolio rollout. Guidance actually stated was limited: marketing scaling toward 25% of net contribution, revenue per trade slightly above the usual $0.60 to $0.75 range, and full U.S. rollout expected in H2.

Participant coverage from the latest call.

Group Participants Count
Management Daniel Amir — Head of Global Investor Relations, eToro Group Ltd.; Jonathan Assia — Co-Founder, Chairman of the Board & CEO, eToro Group Ltd.; Meron Shani — Chief Financial Officer, eToro Group Ltd.; Operator 4
Analysts Daniel Fannon — Senior Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies LLC, Research Division; Devin Ryan — MD, Director of Financial Technology Research & Equity Research Analyst, Citizens JMP Securities, LLC, Research Division; Joseph Vafi — Analyst, Canaccord Genuity Corp., Research Division; Edward Engel — Research Analyst, Compass Point Research & Trading, LLC, Research Division; Divyam Harlalka — Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division; James Friedman — Senior Analyst, Susquehanna Financial Group, LLLP, Research Division; Brian Bedell — Director in Equity Research, Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division; John Todaro — Senior Analyst, Needham & Company, LLC, Research Division; Dan Dolev — MD & Senior Equity Research Analyst, Mizuho Securities USA LLC, Research Division 9

Curated latest-call exchanges; one row per analyst topic.

Analyst Firm Topic What changed in Q&A
Daniel Fannon Jefferies Sustainability of the crypto-to-commodities shift and capture rates Asked whether the move toward commodities is structural or temporary; management framed it as market-driven volatility within its multi-asset model and said revenue per trade is running slightly above the usual $0.60 to $0.75 range.
Devin Ryan Citizens JMP Balance-sheet optionality — buybacks versus M&A Pushed on deploying the large cash position; management pointed to two acquisitions announced in the prior two weeks, a strong M&A pipeline it says the crypto downturn makes more accretive, and continued buybacks.
Edward Engel Compass Point Agent Portfolio take rate and trading-volume impact Management said agentic trading resembles copy trading — a lower take rate offset by higher velocity in smaller size — and cited north of 500,000 trades in roughly three weeks since launch.
James Friedman Susquehanna How much 24/5 and 24/7 trading adds to volume Management said about 30% of stock volume shifted to after-market hours but explicitly could not say how much of that is additive versus substitute; a candid non-quantification.
Brian Bedell Deutsche Bank Zengo revenue contribution and converting its user base Management called it early days and framed Zengo mainly as a way to expand crypto market share and product coverage rather than a near-term revenue driver.
Divyam Harlalka Goldman Sachs Status of CopyTrader in the U.S. Management said CopyTrader is in limited rollout and in discussions with regulators, with the RIA-based Smart Portfolios also in process, and both expected in complete rollout in H2.

Theme tracker

Themes are curator-classified across supplied calls.

Theme Status Quarters mentioned Read-through
Crypto-to-capital-markets rotation as multi-asset resilience persisted Q2 2025, Q3 2025, Q4 2025, Q1 2026 The central recurring narrative every call: when one asset class cools, activity rotates. Crypto led in Q3 2025 (+229% YoY), then faded while commodities surged to 60% of trading commission by Q1 2026. Management consistently uses it to argue the model performs across market conditions.
AI and agentic trading persisted Q2 2025, Q3 2025, Q4 2025, Q1 2026 Present from the first public call (Tori launch) and escalating each quarter — apps and AI studio in Q3, 'AI-first company' in Q4, and a company-wide AI mandate plus Agent Portfolios and an App Store in Q1 2026. The framing has moved from a tool to the core operating and product engine.
Share buybacks and capital return emerged Q3 2025, Q4 2025, Q1 2026 Emerged in Q3 2025 with a $150M authorization and 'stock is undervalued' language, raised by $100M to $250M total in Q4, and executed in Q1 2026 ($103M repurchased). A new pillar tied explicitly to a perceived share-price gap.
M&A pipeline persisted Q2 2025, Q3 2025, Q4 2025, Q1 2026 Discussed as an active-but-disciplined pipeline every call and finally materialized in Q1 2026 with the Zengo and B2C (Israel crypto exchange) acquisitions; management argues the crypto downturn improves deal accretion.
U.S. expansion and CopyTrader rollout persisted Q2 2025, Q3 2025, Q4 2025, Q1 2026 A standing multi-quarter build: CopyTrader promised for the U.S. in Q2, launched in October (Q3 call), with the RIA-based Smart Portfolios and full CopyTrader rollout repeatedly pushed to H1/H2 2026.
Marketing step-up toward 25% of net contribution emerged Q4 2025, Q1 2026 New guidance introduced in Q4 2025 to scale sales and marketing from about 21% toward 25% of net contribution during 2026; Q1 2026 ran at 22%, tracking the plan.
Prediction markets emerged Q3 2025, Q4 2025, Q1 2026 Surfaced in Q3 2025 (futures rails, Kalshi/Polymarket talks) and recurred through Q1 2026 via the Zengo wallet and a U.S. NFA-regulated path; still described as early and largely partnership-driven.

Guidance ledger

Quotes, calls, and speakers are source-verified; outcomes are curator-classified.

Verbatim guidance Call Speaker Curator outcome Outcome note
“we plan to launch a CopyTrader for U.S. customers on crypto and stocks later this year” eToro Group Ltd., Q2 2025 Earnings Call, Aug 12, 2025 · 2025-08-12T12:30:00 Jonathan Assia kept eToro announced the launch of Copy Trading in the U.S. in October 2025, disclosed on the Q3 2025 call.
“we're aiming to keep our cost base the same quarter-on-quarter. And indeed, we came with a flat view. So we are roughly looking at staying within those lines also in Q4” eToro Group Ltd., Q3 2025 Earnings Call, Nov 10, 2025 · 2025-11-10T13:30:00 Jonathan Assia kept Q4 2025 adjusted OpEx was $140 million, roughly flat versus Q3's $137 million.
“we plan to increase our sales and marketing investment from 21%, scaling gradually to 25% of net contribution” eToro Group Ltd., Q4 2025 Earnings Call, Feb 17, 2026 · 2026-02-17T13:30:00 Meron Shani pending A 2026 target; Q1 2026 sales and marketing was 22% of net contribution, with the 25% goal reiterated.
“We are expecting double-digit account growth” eToro Group Ltd., Q4 2025 Earnings Call, Feb 17, 2026 · 2026-02-17T13:30:00 Jonathan Assia pending A 2026 target; Q1 2026 funded accounts grew 12% year-over-year to over 4 million, tracking the goal with the full year incomplete.
“we don't expect that to deviate much from the usual 1% that we have delivered so far” eToro Group Ltd., Q4 2025 Earnings Call, Feb 17, 2026 · 2026-02-17T13:30:00 Meron Shani unknown Refers to the crypto take rate after a Q4 dip to 0.7%; Q1 2026 did not disclose a crypto take rate, so the outcome is not verifiable from the call history.
“we do expect both to be in complete rollout in H2” eToro Group Ltd., Q1 2026 Earnings Call, May 12, 2026 · 2026-05-12T12:30:00 Jonathan Assia pending Refers to U.S. CopyTrader and Smart Portfolios; H2 2026 had not elapsed as of the last call in the supplied history.

Q&A pressure map

Question counts and firms are curator tallies; analyst coverage shown above.

Topic Questions Firms Pressure / response
Crypto/commodities rotation and take-rate sustainability 11 Jefferies, Goldman Sachs, Cantor Fitzgerald, FT Partners, Mizuho, Compass Point, Canaccord, Needham The most persistent line of questioning across all four calls: whether shifting activity between crypto and commodities is durable and what it does to take rates. Management repeatedly reframed it as multi-asset resilience rather than answering the sustainability question directly.
U.S. expansion, CopyTrader rollout and licensing 9 TD Cowen, Canaccord, Rothschild & Co Redburn, UBS, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, Citizens JMP Analysts pressed each quarter on U.S. traction, CopyTrader mechanics and the RIA/fiduciary licensing timeline. Answers stayed qualitative — 'early days,' rollout targeted for H1/H2 2026 — with little quantification of U.S. uptake.
AI and agentic trading impact on volumes 7 Citizens JMP, Mizuho, Compass Point Recurring questions on whether AI and agentic tools produce a step-change in trading. Management is consistently bullish on velocity but has offered mostly directional evidence (e.g., early Agent Portfolio trade counts) rather than sized volume or revenue effects.
Capital allocation — buybacks versus M&A 4 Citi, UBS, Compass Point, Citizens JMP With the stock seen as undervalued, analysts probed how excess cash is prioritized. Management held to 'both' — disciplined, accretive M&A alongside ongoing buybacks — without a fixed allocation framework.

Language shifts

Only language evidence verified against the referenced component is shown.

Observation Verbatim evidence Call ID Component
As crypto trading contribution fell sharply, management shifted from Q3's bullish 'strong crypto market' framing to a defensive build-through-the-downturn stance. “crypto downtimes are the time to build” 1994107075 1
Management began directly addressing share-price weakness, introducing explicit undervaluation language alongside the first buyback authorization in Q3 2025. “We believe that our stock is undervalued.” 1964400789 1
AI language intensified from Q2's 'inflection point' to a company-wide operating mandate by Q1 2026, now positioned as core to how the business runs, not just a feature. “we made AI a company-wide mandate across every function in eToro” 1994107075 1
A new cost-discipline note surfaced in Q4 2025: the first disclosure of a headcount reduction, tied to AI-driven efficiency and scaling without adding to the cost base. “We did do about a month ago an adjustment to headcount as well.” 1979238227 21

Across its first year as a public company, eToro's call history tells a consistent story: commodities and capital-markets activity have offset a steep crypto downturn, keeping net contribution and margins growing while management leans harder on AI, buybacks and now M&A. The open debate is durability — whether commodity-led strength and the agentic roadmap are sustainable enough to carry through crypto's cyclicality and justify the marketing step-up, at a valuation management itself calls too low.